Home I All Guides I DFS Guides I DFS I Ranking the Best DFS Strikers
Goals…they are the only currency that matters in football. And they are of added significance in daily fantasy too. With each strike earning ten points, it’s the highest scoring ‘event’ in any single match. The second highest, assists, are also an activity which good DFS strikers can contribute to.
Drafting the right attacking players for your line up is crucial. We will discover in this article, there is more to it than simply picking the most expensive dfs strikers.
Here are seven things to consider before drafting your line leaders:
Scoring goals and creating them for others requires confidence. It comes from playing well and getting into the right positions on the pitch at the right time.
You may remember back to the first half of last season, when Leicester City’s Jamie Vardy scored in eleven consecutive matches to break a longstanding record. That feat is hugely impressive, and was only possible because of the confidence that Vardy had in front of goal. Every time he got a sniff of a chance he would take it. It’s amazing how a player in form tends to get lucky bounces and deflections that go their way.
So always keep your eyes peeled for strikers that are scoring clusters of goals, or are putting in the kinds of performance that suggest a good run is just around the corner.
It really does make a difference when picking your strikers to draft those who are playing against more generous defences.
An example from the 2015/16 season would be Aston Villa, who conceded 76 goals in 38 games. We know that they are conceding an average of two goals per match. That helps to inform us that if we draft a striker that happens to be playing against Villa in that Gameweek, then we stand a better chance of picking up points.
Given the flexible nature of drafting line ups in fantasy daily sports, you can switch your DFS strikers every week. This is perhaps the most important area to consider pre-draft.
Some strikers love playing with certain teammates because they have an almost pathological understanding. Watch how Olivier Giroud peels away from his marker when Mesut Ozil is in possession of the ball in anticipation of a through ball. Another example is Jamie Vardy, who makes sure he is waiting on the shoulder of the last man for the quick counter attack when Danny Drinkwater receives the ball in space.
Often a striker will thrive when he has his lieutenants around him, so make sure you take the time to study which combinations are successful so that you can take full advantage in your draft.
The nature of the English football schedule dictates that players will occasionally need to be rested. Teams have to prevent them from suffering injuries or burn out. Drafting a striker only to see him left on the substitute’s bench due to a fixture pile-up, is a severely frustrating experience for daily fantasy managers.
This unique situation is exacerbated further by the Champions League/Europa League. A number of English football’s standout sides will be in action. So, you have to be thinking like a smart DFS manager. If you recognise, for example, that Manchester City has a key Champions League match on the following Wednesday, then the chances are that Sergio Aguero will be rested for the weekend’s Premier League match.
With this kind of insight, you can be one step ahead of your competing managers.
When drafting your attacking players it makes sense to examine the opposition’s defence beforehand. What are their key characteristics both individually and collectively? And what kind of striker would they not enjoy playing against?
There are numerous examples of Premier League defensive pairings that have specific weaknesses. At Chelsea, for instance, their usual central defensive partnership is John Terry and Gary Cahill; both of whom are tough in the tackle, strong in the air and would run through the proverbial brick wall for their team. But they both lack in one component: speed. As such, a pacey striker is a good pick against them – as evidenced by Sergio Aguero’s hat-trick back in April.
Some teams struggle to defend against crosses, so tall DFS strikers that attack the ball are a good option here. These are just two examples of how contrasting styles can help to inform your draft decisions.
When Tottenham’s Harry Kane bagged a hat-trick against Bournemouth way back on October 25, 2015, smart daily fantasy managers were already pencilling March 20, 2016, into their diaries. Why? Because that’s when these two teams played their reverse fixture.
Certain strikers thrive against specific teams, mainly due to the reasons outlined in the ‘Styles’ and ‘Who’s Playing Who’ paragraphs above. It is well worth your time to track these patterns and make a note of them.
So what happened when Tottenham played Bournemouth in March? Kane scored twice in a 3-0 win, of course. That was an easy 20 points in the bag for canny DFS managers that had done their homework!
Statistics have played a key role in sport, dating back to the 1990s when Billy Beane revolutionized baseball with his ‘sabermetric’ approach to the game; as captured in the book and subsequent movie Moneyball, starring Brad Pitt.
Data analysis has made its way into football too, and it is this approach that many daily fantasy managers take when drafting their line ups to ensure that typically undervalued players aren’t missed when selecting line ups.
You don’t need to be a stat hound to know who is scoring goals – this information is readily available on the Internet. But how can we pre-empt who will score next week, and the week after? This is where a statistical angle comes in handy.
‘You can’t score if you don’t shoot,’ so the old adage goes. Five of the eight top goalscorers in the Premier League last season recorded more shots on goal than any other player. Each worth a handy 1pt in daily fantasy, of course. So the logic is that strikers that are getting their shots away are more likely to score than those who don’t.
And then we can drill down further into the stats: where are these shots coming in from? An attacker that is receiving plenty of ball in the penalty area is far more likely to be scoring goals. Players trying their luck from long distance are far less efficient.
Other metrics including key passes, aerial duels won, and successful dribbles also contribute to perfect DFS strikers.
Make sure to also check out our Guides on:
How to pick the best Midfielders for your team
How to pick the best Defenders for your DFS team
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